Archive Champions League Tips
Find our archived tips below for previous Champions League tips, which started on Matchday 5 of the group stages in the 2009/10 season.
Champions League Match Tips
This weeks semi-final matches:
Bayern Munich travel to Lyon in their Champions League semi-final second leg tie on Tuesday with a 1-0 lead from the match six days ago. The goal scorer in Germany was Dutchman Arjen Robben who has now popped up with a goal in each of his last four matches in this competition. Robben was on the scoresheet in Florence and Manchester in both of Bayern's away matches in the knockout stages and he is a 6/1 chance to score first for his own team in Tuesday's second leg tie in Lyon.
Selection: Arjen Robben to score first for Bayern Munich - 6/1
In this week's other Champions League semi-final second leg tie, Barcelona are huge odds on favourites to beat Inter at the Nou Camp. That saying, Inter remain favourites to qualify for the Champions League final after their first leg 3-1 win in Milan last week, so this is a complicated betting game. Barcelona need to win 2-0 or by three goals to progress to their second consecutive Champions League final. Inter managed to shut out Chelsea in the last sixteen of the competition but this will be a tougher proposition. Expect Barcelona to score at some point, but Inter have looked good on the break, so we reckon Inter to score the last goal at 13/5 is a decent looking bet.
Selection: Inter to score the last goal versus Barcelona - 13/5
Champions League Winner Tips
It is very difficult to look past Barcelona when it comes to betting on who will win the Champions league. However, we don't think they are quite the force they were last year, especially defensively and if they come up against a team good enough to shut them out then they could be fallable at the back. Step forward Jose Mourinho's Inter Milan side. Despite losing 2-0 to Barca in the group stages, that should set them in good stead if the teams meet again in the later stages of the Champions League. Inter proved against Chelsea that they can soak up pressure and hit teams on the break and with former Barcelona striker Samuel Eto'o in their ranks, he certainly won't hold any fears returing to the Nou Camp.
Selection: Inter to win Champions League at 4/1.
This weeks semi-final matches:
Barcelona are favourites to win this semi-final versus Inter and also the firt leg in Milan on Tuesday. However, although Barcelona have been the team to beat this season in the Champions League, they have only managed to win one of their five away matches and that was at Dynamo Kiev. This includes a 0-0 draw at Inter in the group stages of the competition. Inter are a very solid unit and arguably have the strongest defence in this year's Champions League. Therefore, we tip a first leg draw at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium.
Selection: Inter v Barcelona - Draw 2/1
In this week's other Champions League semi-final, Bayern Munich host Lyon. The Germans are 8/11 favourites to win the first leg and 4/7 to qualify. However, Bayern have scapred through three times this season, beating Juventus in Italy on the final group stage matchday to get into the knockout phase, then relying on the away goal rule to get to the semi-finals past Fiorentina and then manchester United. Lyon have managed to score on trips to Liverpool and Real Madrid in this season's competition, so we fancy a third straight 2-1 home win for Bayern in Wednesday's semi-final.
Selection: Bayern Munich to beat Lyon 7-1
Arsenal host Barcelona in this mouthwatering Champions League quarter-final on Wednesday and we think goals are on the cards and we can expect an open game with plenty of goal-mouth action. With Lionel Messi in top form and Arsenal having scored seventeen goals at home in the Champions League this season, you can bet on both teams to score at 4/7.
Selection: Arsenal v Barcelona - Both teams to score 4/7
Inter Milan take on CSKA Moscow in the remaining quarter-final with the odds very much stacked in the Italians favour. Inter are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season and after ousting Chelsea in the last sixteen this should be in theory a walk in the park for them against a CSKA team who haven't played much football of late. You can back Inter to win the match 1-0 in typical Jose Mourinho fashion at odds of 11/2.
Selection: Inter to beat CSKA 1-0 at 11/2
Tuesday sees a titanic clash between European football stalwarts Manchester United and Bayern Munich. There's plenty of talk in the press about how Bayern will be looking for revenge for the 1999 Champions League final where two injury-time goals for United snatched the trophy from under Bayern's noses but the fact is, the Germans already got their revenge for that loss beating United at this stage of the competition in 2001. The bare facts of the matter are that Bayern have been very inconsistent this season, and despite a nine match winning run domestically they are still behind Shalke in the Bundesliga. Man Utd have been the model of consistency since the turn of the year and the 11/8 on United to win on Tuesday night is a gift from the gold.
Selection: Man Utd to beat Bayern 11/8
Tuesday's other match is an all-French affair between Lyon and Bordeaux. These two teams have been quietly been going about their business in this season's Champions League, especially Bordeaux, who have the best record in the competition and are on the back of seven straight wins in the Champions League. Lyon also have good form to their name this season, none more so when beating Real Madrid in the last round. However, Bordeaux seem to be the new dominant force in French football and the 11/5 about them repeating the win they got earlier in the season in Ligue 1 looks very generous.
Selection: Bordeaux to beat Lyon 11/5
This weeks last sixteen matches:
Chelsea take on Inter at Stamford Bridge hoping to overturn a 2-1 deficit from the first leg in Milan two weeks ago. The home side have won three matches in the Champions League when needing to overturn a first leg defeat at Stamford Bridge and Inter's record in England is not good. The Italians have been knocked out of this satge of the competition for the last three seasons, losing twice to English opposition versus Manchester United last season and Liverpool the year before. Inter lost 3-1 to Catania on Friday night and Chelsea beat West Ham 4-1 on Saturday, so we reckon backing Chelsea to qualify is the way forward.
Selection: Chelsea to Qualify 4/6
The remaining three matches have the home teams as long odds on favourites. Sevilla should have enough at home against CSKA on Tuesday after their first leg 1-1 draw in Russia whilst it would take some effort from Stuttgart to beat Barcelona at the Nou Camp on Wednesday. Bordeaux are in command against Olympiacos in the remaining fixture on Wednesday and hold a 1-0 lead against a team who have yet to score away from home in the Champions League this season. With all this in mind, we suggest you put these three teams in a treble to qualify, at odds around the 1/4 mark, or for a little more value, add in Chelsea and have a fourfold worth just over 5/2.
Selection: Barcelona, Sevilla, Bordeax, Chelsea to qualify acca 5/2
It's the second legs of half the last sixteen matches this week and by Wednesday night, we'll know half of the quarter-finalists. On Tuesday, Arsenal must overcome a 2-1 deficit against Porto at The Emirates to qualify and we think they are a good bet to do that. Porto do not travel well, especially to London where they lost to Chelsea in the group stages and 4-0 against Arsenal last time the two teams played on English soil. Arsenal are 8/11 to qualify with bet365 and that looks a good bet to us.
Selection: Arsenal to qualify - 8/11
In tonight's other match, Fiorentina need to match Arsenal's plight and overturn a 2-1 deficit against Bayern Munich. We don't think this one will be so straightforward though as the Germans are in top form domestically and managed to get the result in Italy during the group stages, where they defeated Juventus 4-1 in Turin to guarantee progress to the knockout stages. The Germans are 6/4 with various bookmakers to win in Florence and we think that they will.
Selection: Bayern Munich win - 6/4
On Wednesday night, Manchester United should have enough to put out AC Milan and we think that backing in-form striker Wayne Rooney to score at anytime is the stand out bet at 11/10. Rooney has been in top goalscoring form of late and after a rest at the weekend the United talisman, who scored two in the first leg will net again at Old Trafford.
Selection: Wayne Rooney to score anytime - 11/10
Real Madrid find themselves a goal down to Lyon in their second leg tie at the Bernabeu on Wednesday night. Lyon's only defeat away from home this season in the Champions League was against Fiorentina in what was for all intense purposes a 'dead rubber'. A clean sheet at home a fortnight ago means the French team will be happy enough to sit and defend and look to hit a Madrid on the break. Madrid, still vulnerable in defense might need to win this game by more than two goals if they want to progress and we see Lyon to qualify at 13/10 as being the bet for this one.
Selection: Lyon to qualify - 13/10
There are some interesting matches on Tuesday, with holders Barcelona travelling to Germany where they'll play Stuttgart. Both teams are in goalscoring form, Stuttgart fresh from a 5-1 win over Cologne at the weekend and Barca winning 4-0 on Saturday against Racing Santander. The Germans will need a lead to take back to Spain with any realistic chance of qualifying for the quarter-finals so we expect them to come out fighting on Tuesday. In tonight's other game, goals may also be on the menu. Olympiakos have won all of their home games in the Champions League this season whilst Bordeaux have scored in all of their matches, only dropping two points in their opening match of the campaign away at Juventus. You can back all four teams to score tonight at around two and a half to one.
Selection - Both teams to score on Tuesday double - 5/2
Bordeaux look a good price at 6/4 to win their first leg encounter with Olympiakos. There's no doubting the Greeks have a great home record but the bookmakers have been underestimating Laurant Blanc's French title holders all season in the Champions League and the price looks too big.
Selection - Bordeaux Win 6/4
Goals could be at a premium in Wednesday night's matches. We fully expect the Inter v Chelsea match to be a cagey affair, with the visitors likely to keep things tight at the back and Inter not in any hurry to concede a goal on home soil in the first leg. Under 1.5 goals pays 7/4.
Selection - Inter v Chelsea - under 1.5 goals 7/4
It'll bitterly cold in the Russian capital on Wednesday night as CSKA will be looking to come out of hybernation from their winter break and take a lead back to Spain for the second leg in Sevilla. The Spaniards scored seven goals away from home in the group stages but we suspect they'll be adopting a more cautious approach to this one, especially after losing 3-2 away at Fenerbahce at this stage last season. Get half a point more by backing no goalscorer rather than the 0-0 draw.
CSKA v Sevilla - No Goalscorer 13/2
Last Sixteen Knockout Stages
AC Milan v Man Utd - 16th Feb 2010
Milan drew two of their three matches in the group stages of the Champions League and will be keen to not concede in this two legged affair. Man United will fancy their chances at Old Trafford and a scoring draw would be a good result to take back for the second leg.
Selection - Draw
Lyon v Real Madrid - 16th Feb 2010
Lyon and Real Madrid both have more emphasis on attack over defence and the French team have averaged two goals a game at home in the Champions League this season. Real Madrid are in good goalscoring form averaging three goals a game in the Champions League this season and despite this being a first leg match, there might be some value to take in the over 2.5 goals market.
Selection - Over 2.5 goals
Bayern Munich v Fiorentina - 17th Feb
Bayern got off to shaky start in this season's Champions league but since they scraped through to the last sixteen in December they have gone on a winning run of nine games in the Bundesliga. Fiorentina have been one of the surprises of the tournament this year topping a group that contained Lyon and Liverpool but their league form is poor at the moment and have never won a match in Germany.
Selection - Bayern Munich win
Porto v Arsenal - 17th Feb 2010
Porto won the last time these two teams met in Portugal and the bookmakers are struggling to split the teams. Arsenal should have a little too much for the Portuguese and at the price they look a value bet.
Selection - Arsenal win
Matchday 6 - 8th December 2009
The most eye-catching of Tuesday's Champions League fixtures is undoubtedly the Group A match between Juventus and Bayern Munich. Bordeaux have well and truly upset the apple cart in Group A and as a result these two giants of European football are scrapping it out for a place in the last sixteen. Juventus have the advantage as a draw will be enough to see them progress and they have home advantage also. Scoring goals has been Juve's problem this Champions League campaign whilst Bayerns' has been conceding them. It certainly points for a fascinating match with both teams winning at the weekend in their domestic league. Bayern have the quality going forward and it might just be enough to take all three points and squeeze through at the expense of the Italians. You can back Bayern Munich to win at 9/4 with Victor Chandler.
There's also a fascinating tussle going on in Group C with a distinct possibility of a 'top' name leaving the competition in the group stages. Real Madrid need just a point away in the south of France against Marseille to secure their place whilst AC Milan should go through courtesy of beating FC Zurich at home. Marseille hold the key here though and the French team are no push-over on home soil and with the way Real ship goals it could be an entertaining affair. Marseille are best price 21/10 with Paddy Power but it's the overs market that makes most appeal, with both teams scoring 21 goals between them and conceding a further 13 the 4/5 with bet365 about there being more than two goals in the game looks a good bet.
Matchday 6 - 9th December 2009
Despite the fact that Liverpool are out of the Champions League and their domestic form is pretty poor, the 11/10 available with bet365 for the Reds to beat Fiorentina at home on Wednesday night looks a gift. The Italians aren't the best travellers at the best of times and Liverpool will be wanting to put on a show to their supporters after what has been a disappointing campaign. Liverpool have already secured third place in Group E and with the visitors happily through to the last sixteen already Liverpool look a decent value bet.
We've picked out three home bankers for you to treble up on for our final tip of Matchday 6. Lyon and Sevilla have already won Group E and Group G of the Champions League but they have very winnable games at home to Debrecen and Rangers respectively. Add Inter into the treble and a £10 bet with Paddy Power will earn you £22 if they all win. Inter must win at home to Rubin Kazan to secure their safe passage from Group F.
Matchday 6 Tips
Three out of four winning (W) tips from our Matchday 6 selections.
|Juventus v Bayern Munich||Bayern (W)||9/4||Bet with Victor Chandler|
|Marseille v Real Madrid||Over 2.5 Goals (W)||4/5||Bet with bet365|
|Liverpool v Fiorentina||Liverpool (L)||11/10||Bet with bet365|
|Lyon/Inter/Sevilla||Win treble (W)||11/8||Bet with Paddy Power|
Matchday 5 - 24th November 2009
All eyes are on Liverpool to see if they can beat Debrecen in Hungary and keep their Champions League hopes alive. However, if Fiorentina beat Lyon in Florence then it's game over for Rafa Benitez's team regardless. Liverpool may well get the win they require but without Fernando Torres in the side they're very short in the betting at 4/11. Fiorentina on the other hand can put the group to bed with a win at home against a Lyon team who have already qualified. The 21/20 available with bet365 would be our pick of Matchday 5. WINNER
Elsewhere we like the look of Rubin Kazan at 20/21 with Boylesports who face Dynamo Kiev in Russia. All four teams still have plenty to play for in Group F and Rubin have a great chance of getting the win here against a Kiev side without a win away from home in the Champions League this season. Rubin secured the Russian Premier League Championship for the second successive season at the weekend and will be in good spirits for the arrival of Dynamo. LOSER
Matchday 5 - 25th November 2009
Bordeaux and Juventus can play out a draw in France on Wednesday night and subsequently dump Bayern Munich out of the competition with one round of games to go. Bordeaux have won both home games in this Champions League season and have already qualified for the knockout stages. Juventus are four points clear of third placed Bayern in Group A and one point will be enough to do the job. The 9/5 available at bet365 looks a good price.
It's a dead rubber so to speak in Portugal for Chelsea's last away trip of the Group D stage and although both teams have motivation for finishing top of the group, the 6/4 available to back Chelsea with VC Bet looks too good to be true. Chelsea have the squad that means they should have enough firepower to win this despite injury problems. There won't be many opportunities to back Chelsea at a price as big as 6/4 in this competition so this is your big chance.